The slate
Matches with the largest gap between the model and the market price come first. The rest of the day sits one tap below.
See where the model and the market disagree.
A Dixon–Coles model forecasts every match in Europe's top five leagues, then shows where its probabilities differ from the market price, and by how much.
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matches settled so far
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league and market combinations with published scores
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football competitions with forecasts
One list in the morning. Everything else one click deep.
The slate shows the largest gaps between the model and the market first, then every other match. The default view holds at most eight matches, not eighty. Open any match for the full picture.
Every scoreline
36 scores, each with its own probability, for every football match.
A reason, in a sentence
Every forecast comes with a one-line reason built from the model's own numbers.
Graded in public
Scores for each league and market are published once 300 forecasts have settled, with the number of forecasts behind each one and the leagues where MatchEdge loses to a baseline. Past accuracy does not predict future results. Forecasts are statistical estimates, not advice.